Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 28 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

ScotlandUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 11 June 2026 at 07:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 10th strongest of the 30 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 June 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued June 10 at 8:19PM CDT until June 11 at 2:00AM CDT by NWS Quad Cities IA IL

Urban PEI: 17,520 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)28 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates40.4461, -92.2979
Nearest CityKirksville (37 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)17.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-11T01:19:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.81e2388d40929a1b8d1588ed5eaf78ef

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-11T01:19:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-11T01:28:22.175Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescLee, IA; Hancock, IL; Clark, MO; Scotland, MO; Knox, MO; Lewis, MO; Adair, MO; Grundy, MO; Mercer, MO; Putnam, MO; Schuyler, MO; Sullivan, MO and 3 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued June 10 at 8:19PM CDT until June 11 at 2:00AM CDT by NWS Quad Cities IA IL
Expires2026-06-11T02:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Quad Cities IA IL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.81e2388d40929a1b8d1588ed5eaf78ef1b78c8d7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.78cea02d119b46b169c7771661ba54d7adbfb1a2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b38a6c904a56fa7b19e52ca6ab4e5b68cbff6471.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7dd7e6e1a6cb84302455387e3a5cdec3ef48755e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.12b52e23b92fad37c17337a2349c8cd76676ed17.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d78eb37b1f95d04360f69fb1b4a3c4d3113d69bb.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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